Modesto Air Quality in Winter

Across 2019–2025, Modesto's winter (December–February) air quality had a median AQI of 61 (Moderate) over 632 monitored days in the Modesto, CA area. 5.5% of winter days (35 of 632) reached Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups or worse, and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) set the daily AQI on 85.0% of days. The cleanest winter on record here was 2025 (median AQI 60, 0 days above 100) and the worst was 2022 (median 75, 7 days above 100, peak AQI 137).

61
Median AQI
Moderate
5.5%
Days above AQI 100
35 of 632 days
92
90th percentile AQI
worst 1 day in 10
141
Peak AQI
Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups
PM2.5
Main pollutant
85.0% of days
29.3%
Good days
185 of 632
  • Good: 29.3%
  • Moderate: 65.2%
  • Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups: 5.5%
  • Unhealthy or worse: 0.0%

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QUICK ANSWER

How is the air in Modesto in winter?

Moderate on a typical day: median AQI 61 across 2019–2025, with 5.5% of winter days above AQI 100. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is the main driver.

  • 29.3% of winter days were Good (AQI 0–50), 65.2% Moderate (51–100).
  • 35 days of 632 reached AQI 101+; the winter peak was 141.
  • Cleanest month: February; worst month: December.

Frequently asked questions

What is the air quality like in Modesto in winter?

Across 2019–2025, the median daily AQI in Modesto in winter was 61 (Moderate). 29.3% of days were Good, 65.2% Moderate, and 5.5% reached Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups or worse, based on 632 monitored days in EPA's Air Quality System.

Is winter a good time for outdoor exercise in Modesto?

A typical winter day in Modesto is Moderate (median AQI 61): outdoor exercise is acceptable for most people, but unusually sensitive individuals should watch for symptoms, and about 1 day in 18 of winter days (5.5%) reached AQI 101+ — the level at which EPA advises people with asthma, children and older adults to shorten hard outdoor exertion.

Which pollutant causes Modesto's winter air quality problems?

Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) set the daily AQI on 85.0% of winter days in Modesto. The highest winter AQI recorded in 2019–2025 was 141 (Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups), in 2022.

Modesto winter air quality, year by year

Modesto winter air quality by year (Modesto, CA, EPA AQS daily AQI)

YearDays monitoredMedian AQIDays above 100Peak AQIMain pollutant
201990566120PM2.5
202091654108PM2.5
202190636128PM2.5
2022worst90757137PM2.5
202390565120PM2.5
202491557141PM2.5
2025cleanest9060098PM2.5

What winter air means in Modesto

A typical winter day in Modesto is Moderate (median AQI 61): outdoor exercise is acceptable for most people, but unusually sensitive individuals should watch for symptoms, and about 1 day in 18 of winter days (5.5%) reached AQI 101+ — the level at which EPA advises people with asthma, children and older adults to shorten hard outdoor exertion.

Winter's median AQI of 61 is above Modesto's whole-year median of 54, making it one of the area's dirtier periods. Nationally, the median Winter AQI across every EPA metro area (278,620 metro-days, 2019–2025) is 40, so Modesto runs above the national Winter norm; 5.5% of its Winter days topped AQI 100 versus 0.6% nationally (above average).

Within the season, February is the cleanest month (median AQI 52, 1.5% of days above 100) and December the worst (median 66, 8.8% above 100).

Activity-specific thresholds: running, cycling, kids' sports.

Right now in Modesto

The latest EPA AirNow observation puts Modesto's AQI at 63 (PM10). The figures above are multi-year season statistics, not today's reading.

View current Modesto air quality →

Source: EPA Air Quality System (AQS) pre-generated Daily AQI by CBSA files — daily AQI by CBSA (Modesto, CA), 2019–2025. Daily AQI per CBSA is the highest AQI reported by any monitor in the area that day; the defining parameter is the pollutant that set it. Month and season statistics pool every such day in the period across all years listed. Retrieved 2026-09-09.